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2024-12-14 03:30:18

December 12th Morning Post: US stocks hit a new high. Will A shares follow?Today, there is a high probability of watching black Thursday, holding positions for a day and not operating!Today, my specific operation is as follows:


In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!Now is the New Year's Eve monster stock game vs. National Nine Articles, and institutions will definitely not take over in these directions! So it's basically hot money and quantitative initiation, and then after pulling a few boards, I throw the chips to the retail investors who chase high. I don't know how many of the 300 billion board-playing funds are now in the pockets of hot money and quantification.It seems that foreign capital will not return to A-shares for the time being, and the short-term capital will be wrapped up by hot money and quantitative funds. The heavy positions of institutions will continue to lose blood, and the short-term market index is not too strong. Let's focus on the rhythm of individual stocks!


When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.It seems that foreign capital will not return to A-shares for the time being, and the short-term capital will be wrapped up by hot money and quantitative funds. The heavy positions of institutions will continue to lose blood, and the short-term market index is not too strong. Let's focus on the rhythm of individual stocks!After all, the board must be broken or down in the end, and the game is just a personal understanding of funds, emotions and news. It has nothing to do with fundamentals and logic. What is vividly interpreted here is eat small fish, a big fish. When a small fish eats shrimp, the shrimp can only eat dirt.

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